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Brasília Stevedores 6, Pan Am Mountaineers 4                2046-05-02 · #1432
at Spite Hyyrynen Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            4    4    2    0
Brasília                6    6    5    1

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Aedo        lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Catley      ss ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Feliz       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Heredia     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Firmino     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Martins     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Shalimova   2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Edris       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Polanco     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Melo        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Sampaio     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   4   2   0   0   0   4   4  17   0   0  0.071
  HBP: Heredia (2).
  GIDP: Aedo (2).


BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cruz        c  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bonsegundo  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Martine 3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Watanab ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Delgado c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Kobayas lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Adames  3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Guerra  c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Encarna c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cabrera     j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Polanco     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  17   6   5   3   0   1   6   4   5   0   0  0.294
  2B: Martinelli (7), Saprissa (10), Adames (6).
  HR: Cabrera (6), off Polanco.
  E: Saprissa (3).
  GIDP: Bonsegundo (1).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 5th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Polanco (L, 1-3) ....    21   14  52%    5    6    6    4    5    1   75    -

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bonsegundo (W, 3-2) .    18   14  52%    2    2    2    2   10    0   77    -
Genovese ............    16   13  48%    0    2    1    2    8    0   56  2-1

  Batting order: Brasília Stevedores (home) batted second; Pan Am Mountaineers batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 99°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 800873.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 7 Richard Shalimova James Catley (3B) 1–0
T 13 Sandy Heredia Richard Shalimova (2B) 2–0
T 24 Sérgio Firmino Néstor Paniagua (3B) 3–0
T 25 Richard Shalimova James Catley (3B) 4–0
B 2 Wilmer Guerra Joaquín Saprissa (2B) 4–1
B 5 Manny Cruz Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira (2B) 4–2
B 9 Junior Cabrera Jean Delgado (3B) 4–3
B 9 Junior Cabrera Junior Cabrera (HR) 4–4
B 14 Manny Adames Léonardo Martinelli (3B) 4–5
B 14 Manny Adames Albert Encarnación (1B) 4–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Hyyrynen Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 336' · CF 392' · RF 327' · 33' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Abel Aedo — fly_out · EV 61 mph · LA +51° · 144 ft Néstor Paniagua — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 207 ft Arthur Martins — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Richard Shalimova — single · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 225 ft Sandy Heredia — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -1° · 55 ft Richard Shalimova — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Sean Edris — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Abel Aedo — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 74 ft Eloy Feliz — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -16° · 54 ft Richard Shalimova — error · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Robinson Polanco — line_out · EV 101 mph · LA +13° · 175 ft Joaquín Saprissa — double · EV 106 mph · LA +13° · 194 ft Wilmer Guerra — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft Léonardo Martinelli — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +14° · 158 ft Manny Cruz — single · EV 87 mph · LA -7° · 82 ft Paulo Bonsegundo — double_play · EV 87 mph · LA -2° · 83 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +28° · 313 ft Manny Adames — double · EV 93 mph · LA +43° · 346 ft Junior Cabrera — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +37° · 413 ft Joaquín Saprissa — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +11° · 125 ft Léonardo Martinelli — double · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 314 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pan Am Mountaineers
7% deserve-to-win  ·  2.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.0 vs expected
contact: 3.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Richard Shalimova 92 / +6° Oppo Reached on Error 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Arthur Martins 76 / -2° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Richard Shalimova 76 / +0° Center Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Sean Edris 76 / -3° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Abel Aedo 77 / +2° Pull Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Brasília Stevedores
93% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 10.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Junior Cabrera 103 / +37° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Robinson Polanco 101 / +13° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira 97 / +28° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Léonardo Martinelli 93 / +32° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Léonardo Martinelli 93 / +14° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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