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Cologne Glassworks & Söhne 13, Split BK 4                    2046-04-17 · #769
at Léon Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Split                   4      0    4   10    0
Cologne                13      -   13   11    0

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pohjanpalo  cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Westerlund  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Saravanan   2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lynch       3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Klose       p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Franssi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Seppälä cf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Bautist cf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
  d-Wagner  c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  e-Ihalain ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Clardy  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Franssi     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   4  10   3   0   0   3   2   6   0   0  0.323
  2B: Seppälä (3), Wagner (2), Ihalainen (4).
  CS: Lynch (3).
  GIDP: Pikkujämsä (1), Franssi (2), Westerlund (1).
  GITP: Westerlund (1).
  a-Ran for Klose in the 7th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 5th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  f-Grounded out in the 8th.

COLOGNE GLASSWORKS & SÖHNE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Pitts       lf ......    3   3   2   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.667
Öling       rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Korpela pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Joronen     ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Bosch   pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Koponen     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lehtinen    cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lennartsson c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  c-Pohjanp ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Scrubbo ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Turunen ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Rannikko    j  ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Kuikka      j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   1   0  0.500
Lampinen    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  13  11   2   0   3  13   4  12   1   0  0.324
  2B: Lehtinen (3), Kuikka (5).
  HR: Pitts (2), off Kovač; Rannikko (1), off Paulsen; Lennartsson (1), off Paulsen.
  SB: Korpela (2), Bosch (2), Lampinen (2).
  a-Ran for Öling in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Joronen in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klose ...............     5    2   7%    2    2    2    1    2    0   16    -
Can .................     7    4  15%    2    3    3    2    4    0   32  2-2
Olsen ...............     7    6  22%    1    2    2    0    2    0   22  2-2
Paulsen (L, 1-1) ....     6    3  11%    3    5    4    0    2    2   19  1-1
Kovač ...............    11   12  44%    1    1    1    1    2    1   38  1-0

COLOGNE GLASSWORKS & SÖHNE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Koivisto (W, 1-0) ...    25   21  78%    7    3    3    2    4    0   89    -
Hurtig (F, 6) .......     8    6  22%    3    1    1    0    2    0   23  1-0

  Batting order: Cologne Glassworks & Söhne (home) batted first; Split BK batted second.
  Seconds: SB o25 (4-13).
  First pitch 6:00 PM GMT. Weather: 84°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 849828.
  Walk-Back runs: off Paulsen 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Hannu Joronen Kadin Pitts (2B) 0–1
B 2 Aarne Rannikko Ville Korpela (3B) 0–2
B 2 Eino Kuikka Sauli Bosch (3B) 0–3
B 6 Kadin Pitts Aarne Rannikko (3B) 0–4
B 6 Kadin Pitts Eino Kuikka (2B) 0–5
B 7 Eino Kuikka Arttu Lampinen (3B) 0–6
B 12 Tarmo Lehtinen Kadin Pitts (2B) 0–7
B 12 Theodor Lennartsson Tarmo Lehtinen (2B) 0–8
B 12 Theodor Lennartsson Theodor Lennartsson (HR) 0–9
B 14 Toni Turunen Theodor Lennartsson (3B) 0–10
B 15 Aarne Rannikko Toni Turunen (1B) 0–11
B 15 Aarne Rannikko Aarne Rannikko (HR) 0–12
B 26 Kadin Pitts Kadin Pitts (HR) 0–13
T 4 Tim Seppälä Veikko Pohjanpalo (1B) 1–13
T 7 Matias Ihalainen Tim Seppälä (3B) 2–13
T 17 Surya Saravanan Manuel Wagner (3B) 3–13
T 20 Manuel Wagner Vilho Franssi (3B) 4–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 341' · CF 416' · RF 295' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Scoreboard Clock
Split BK — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
341' 416' 295' Markku Pikkujämsä — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA +7° · 62 ft Eemil Franssi — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 231 ft Tim Seppälä — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 137 ft Tony Bautista — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 137 ft Niko Westerlund — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Surya Saravanan — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA -1° · 87 ft Matias Ihalainen — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 315 ft Gearoid Lynch — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA +9° · 67 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 185 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft Wayne Clardy — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 299 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +39° · 245 ft Eemil Franssi — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Manuel Wagner — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -10° · 63 ft Tim Seppälä — single · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Tony Bautista — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Niko Westerlund — triple_play · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Gearoid Lynch — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 215 ft Antonio Klose — single · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 144 ft Henrik Franssi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 240 ft Manuel Wagner — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Niko Westerlund — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +52° · 330 ft Surya Saravanan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft
Cologne Glassworks & Söhne — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 3 HR
341' 416' 295' Hannu Joronen — single · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 84 ft Aarne Rannikko — single · EV 90 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Eino Kuikka — double · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 124 ft Kadin Pitts — single · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 113 ft Arttu Lampinen — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -15° · 78 ft Sauli Bosch — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +13° · 131 ft Eino Kuikka — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 85 ft Leevi Koponen — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +32° · 265 ft Tarmo Lehtinen — double · EV 106 mph · LA +12° · 179 ft Theodor Lennartsson — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +39° · 395 ft Jayson Scrubbov — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft Toni Turunen — single · EV 104 mph · LA +4° · 99 ft Eino Kuikka — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +8° · 83 ft Sauli Bosch — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -13° · 78 ft Aarne Rannikko — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +33° · 480 ft Leevi Koponen — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -14° · 61 ft Tarmo Lehtinen — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 83 ft Theodor Lennartsson — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +6° · 82 ft Kadin Pitts — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +46° · 435 ft Aarne Rannikko — ground_out · EV 116 mph · LA +8° · 110 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Split BK
25% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -2.5 vs expected
contact: 13.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tim Seppälä 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Eemil Franssi 92 / +22° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Matias Ihalainen 92 / +34° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Manuel Wagner 92 / +23° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Wayne Clardy 92 / +31° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Cologne Glassworks & Söhne
75% deserve-to-win  ·  11.4 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 19.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (-0.8 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 0 CS (+0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Theodor Lennartsson 100 / +39° Center Home Run 2.0 → 4 +1.98
Aarne Rannikko 116 / +8° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Eino Kuikka 80 / +10° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Sauli Bosch 87 / +13° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Jayson Scrubbov 81 / +11° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
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