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Amur-Zaimka Elk 7, Stratton Construction 6                   2046-04-17 · #771
at Marufu Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Amur-Zaimka             7    7    7    0
Stratton                6    6    5    0

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kingov      ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Pashkova    2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lutrova     c  ......    1   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  2.000
Kwiatkowski rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Dzalami ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Bridges c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Billiot cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Printez ph ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mixon       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Terry       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tolliver    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  11   7   7   2   0   0   5   2   1   1   0  0.636
  2B: Lutrova (8), Printezis (5).
  SB: Mixon (4).
  HBP: Pashkova (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 6th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  d-Doubled in the 2nd.

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Dangerfield lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.333
Kuolov      cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Agunloy pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Wambachov   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Probst      rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Santana     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
McNeilov    ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Johnson ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Armitage    1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Bassong     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Cummings-Co p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Stralem ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Knutson     j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Pauling     j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   6   5   2   0   0   6  10  10   0   0  0.200
  2B: Dangerfield (4), Knutson (4).
  SB: Kuolov (4).
  HBP: Wambachov (2).
  GIDP: Probst (1), Stralem (3).
  a-Ran for Kuolov in the 7th.
  b-Struck out for McNeilov in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Cummings-Coleman in the 6th.

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Phillipsov ..........    12    9  33%    2    2    2    2    3    0   41    -
Bowesov (W, 3-0) ....    16   12  44%    2    2    2    5    5    0   57  1-0
Buchina .............     8    6  22%    1    2    2    3    2    0   42  3-2

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cummings-Coleman ....    11    4  15%    7    5    5    2    1    0   42    -
Norrisov (L, 0-1) ...     2    2   7%    0    2    2    0    0    0   13  2-2

  Batting order: Stratton Construction (home) batted first; Amur-Zaimka Elk batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 48°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 343930.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Keshav Knutson Marmaduke Kuolov (3B) 0–1
B 8 Elwood Dangerfield Keshav Knutson (3B) 0–2
B 20 Marmaduke Kuolov Roscoe McNeilov (3B) 0–3
B 20 Joey Wambachov Elwood Dangerfield (3B) 0–4
B 26 Elwood Dangerfield Phillip Pauling (3B) 0–5
B 26 Elwood Dangerfield Erick Agunloye (2B) 0–6
T 2 Andrei Lutrova Jessie Tolliver (2B) 1–6
T 2 Andrei Lutrova Eoin Terry (3B) 2–6
T 3 Rhyne Billiot Kyle Bridges (3B) 3–6
T 3 Ilia Dzalamidze Alan Pashkova (2B) 4–6
T 4 José Printezis Andrei Lutrova (3B) 5–6
T 5 Eoin Terry Coniah Kingov (3B) 6–6
T 6 Jessie Tolliver José Printezis (3B) 7–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Marufu Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 337' · CF 410' · RF 332' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Eoin Terry — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Kyle Bridges — single · EV 96 mph · LA +17° · 207 ft Andrei Lutrova — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Rhyne Billiot — infield_single · EV 61 mph · LA +3° · 58 ft Ilia Dzalamidze — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +10° · 86 ft José Printezis — double · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 325 ft Andrei Lutrova — double · EV 95 mph · LA +44° · 359 ft Jessie Tolliver — single · EV 79 mph · LA -2° · 75 ft
Stratton Construction — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Marmaduke Kuolov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Ronald Probst — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft Mario Bassong — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 168 ft Keshav Knutson — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 193 ft Phillip Pauling — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -18° · 55 ft Larry Stralem — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Elwood Dangerfield — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +33° · 255 ft Ronald Probst — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Roscoe McNeilov — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Wyatt Armitage — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Larry Stralem — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +14° · 115 ft Keshav Knutson — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -21° · 72 ft Elwood Dangerfield — double · EV 94 mph · LA +40° · 349 ft Phillip Pauling — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +21° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Amur-Zaimka Elk
25% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 5.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+3.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
José Printezis 92 / +37° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Rhyne Billiot 61 / +3° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Andrei Lutrova 95 / +44° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Jessie Tolliver 79 / -2° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Andrei Lutrova 76 / -3° Pull Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Stratton Construction
75% deserve-to-win  ·  7.5 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -1.5 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Keshav Knutson 92 / +17° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Mario Bassong 92 / +15° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Elwood Dangerfield 94 / +40° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Ronald Probst 92 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
Elwood Dangerfield 83 / +33° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
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