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Ola Knights 7, Yagodnoye Sharks 5                            2046-04-17 · #774
at Yagodnoye Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Ola                     7    7    8    0
Yagodnoye               5    5    9    0

OLA KNIGHTS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Motovilov   1b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
MacDonaldov cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Viera       lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bychkova    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ju          c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adames      ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Biryuko pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Smolov      p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Vatutin pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Wattel  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Kloster pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Fedorov ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  f-Olivera cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ávalos  rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  h-Freedma cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marchenko   j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Souttar     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sumarokov-E j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  33   7   8   2   0   0   6   1  13   0   0  0.242
  2B: Marchenko (5), Adames (1).
  SB: Motovilov (2), Marchenko (6).
  a-Ran for Adames in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Smolov in the 4th.
  c-Grounded out in the 1st.
  d-Ran in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Replaced Souttar at CF in the 4th.
  g-Replaced Sumarokov-Elston at RF in the 5th.
  h-Entered at CF in the 6th.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Terrell     rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Isaeva  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tkacheva    2b ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-William pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nembhardov  1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Safina      3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Hrytsenko   lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Danilin pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chalova     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Goloviznina ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Samedov     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Bautist c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Grebeny ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Lapushchenk j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Aalto       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   5   9   1   0   0   5   3  10   0   1  0.310
  2B: Bautista (2).
  GIDP: Isaeva (1).
  a-Grounded out for Terrell in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Tkacheva in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Hrytsenko in the 7th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Walked for Aalto in the 8th.

OLA KNIGHTS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Smolov ..............    11    7  26%    5    2    2    0    2    0   41    -
Nam (W, 1-0) ........    14   13  48%    3    3    3    2    7    0   48  2-0
Gerulaitisov (F, 7) .     6    7  26%    0    0    0    1    1    0   21  2-0

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Samedov (L, 0-2) ....    17   12  44%    5    4    4    1    5    0   62    -
Morganov ............    15   12  44%    3    2    2    0    6    0   51  1-0
Dzyuba ..............     3    3  11%    0    1    1    0    3    0   11  2-1

  Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted second; Ola Knights batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM MAGT. Weather: 46°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 75482.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston Vladimir Motovilov (3B) 1–0
T 10 Mykhailo Marchenko Stanislav Biryukov (2B) 2–0
T 10 Mykhailo Marchenko Ruslan Vatutin (1B) 3–0
T 12 Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston Mykhailo Marchenko (2B) 4–0
T 20 Mykhailo Marchenko Jean Viera (2B) 5–0
T 20 Rómulo Ávalos Vladimir Motovilov (2B) 6–0
T 24 Hyeon-woo Ju Mykhailo Marchenko (3B) 7–0
B 1 Avery Nembhardov Ilia Fedorov (3B) 7–1
B 2 Marmaduke Terrell Eemil Aalto (3B) 7–2
B 16 Vitaly Goloviznina Ilia Fedorov (3B) 7–3
B 20 Ilia Fedorov Micah Williams (3B) 7–4
B 20 Ilia Fedorov Magomed Danilina (2B) 7–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Ola Knights — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Vladimir Motovilov — single · EV 119 mph · LA +5° · 113 ft Croix MacDonaldov — single · EV 119 mph · LA -0° · 113 ft Danny Souttar — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 165 ft Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -10° · 78 ft Jonathan Wattel — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA -3° · 66 ft Hyeon-woo Ju — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +2° · 91 ft Nelson Adames — double · EV 114 mph · LA +11° · 197 ft Rómulo Ávalos — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +41° · 389 ft Vladimir Motovilov — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +28° · 303 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — double · EV 111 mph · LA +20° · 311 ft Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston — single · EV 105 mph · LA +7° · 100 ft Jean Viera — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Rómulo Ávalos — single · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 262 ft Vladimir Motovilov — single · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 302 ft Mykhailo Marchenko — single · EV 92 mph · LA -1° · 88 ft Kirill Bychkova — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +29° · 313 ft Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +14° · 140 ft
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Ilia Fedorov — error · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Eemil Aalto — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 165 ft Anton Tkacheva — single · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 221 ft Avery Nembhardov — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +47° · 337 ft Daniil Safina — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Marmaduke Terrell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 70 ft Vasyl Hrytsenko — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 208 ft Vitaly Goloviznina — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -8° · 55 ft Wandy Bautista — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 199 ft Micah Williams — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Gleb Isaeva — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft Ilia Fedorov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Anton Tkacheva — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Avery Nembhardov — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Ilia Fedorov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft Eemil Aalto — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Taras Chalova — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Ola Knights
64% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-5.6 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rómulo Ávalos 99 / +41° Pull Out 2.0 → 0 -1.96
Vladimir Motovilov 96 / +28° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Kirill Bychkova 96 / +29° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Vladimir Motovilov 119 / +16° Center Single 1.7 → 1 -0.74
Yaroslav Sumarokov-Elston 86 / +14° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Yagodnoye Sharks
36% deserve-to-win  ·  5.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 10.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-1.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Avery Nembhardov 92 / +47° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Avery Nembhardov 92 / +39° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Wandy Bautista 92 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Ilia Fedorov 76 / -14° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.75
Anton Tkacheva 92 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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