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San Cristóbal Navy 9, Salvador BC 6                          2046-04-17 · #775
at Coffin Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
San Cristóbal           9    9   11    0
Salvador                6    6    7    0

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Yamamoto-Pe lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Scarpa      1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Geraldo     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Castill pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Yamamoto-Si rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Álvarez     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Scarpa      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Santos      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Yamamoto    c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Frías   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Guerrero    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Feliz       j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Kemppi      j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Encarnación j  ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  30   9  11   1   0   2   9   3   9   0   1  0.367
  2B: Scarpa (8).
  HR: Encarnación (1), off Bautista; Álvarez (1), off Borges.
  SB: Feliz (5), Yamamoto-Silva (1), Yamamoto (2), Frías (5).
  CS: Yamamoto-Pereira (5), Feliz (5).
  a-Ran for Geraldo in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Yamamoto in the 7th.

SALVADOR BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Marte       lf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.500
Monteiro    ss ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ortiz       rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Ynoa        3b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Solano      2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Bautista    p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Solano      1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Powless     cf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Mejía   c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Norman      j  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Almonte     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   6   7   3   0   0   5   5   6   1   1  0.269
  2B: Norman (3), Monteiro (7), Powless (1).
  SB: Marte (3), Monteiro (3).
  HBP: Monteiro 2 (4), Powless (1).
  GIDP: Ortiz (1), Solano (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Guerrero (W, 2-0) ...    21   16  59%    4    3    3    2    4    0   76    -
Tatís ...............     5    3  11%    1    3    3    3    1    0   21  1-1
Tatís (F, 8) ........     8    8  30%    2    0    0    0    1    0   34  1-0

SALVADOR BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bautista (L, 2-0) ...    20   17  63%    7    5    4    2    7    1   72    -
Borges ..............    11   10  37%    3    4    4    1    2    1   38  1-0

  Batting order: Salvador BC (home) batted second; San Cristóbal Navy batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 84°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 557238.
  Walk-Back runs: off Bautista 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Vladimir Encarnación Ketel Feliz (2B) 1–0
T 4 Vladimir Encarnación Vladimir Encarnación (1B) 2–0
T 4 Vladimir Encarnación Vladimir Encarnación (—) 3–0
T 7 Akira Yamamoto Vladimir Encarnación (3B) 4–0
T 9 Riccardo Scarpa Akira Yamamoto (2B) 5–0
T 20 Sadiel Geraldo Manny Frías (3B) 6–0
T 20 Ketel Feliz Sho Yamamoto-Pereira (3B) 7–0
T 20 Ketel Feliz Ronald Castillo (2B) 8–0
T 24 Juan Álvarez Juan Álvarez (HR) 9–0
B 12 Robinson Bautista Wander Marte (3B) 9–1
B 12 Sekou Powless Afonso Monteiro (3B) 9–2
B 12 Wander Marte Robinson Bautista (3B) 9–3
B 17 Robinson Bautista Afonso Monteiro (3B) 9–4
B 18 Sekou Powless David Ortiz (3B) 9–5
B 18 Sekou Powless Welington Solano (2B) 9–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 304' · CF 403' · RF 334' · 39' wall). Short Porch (Left).
San Cristóbal Navy — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 7 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
304' 403' 334' Wall 39' Sho Yamamoto-Pereira — single · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Ketel Feliz — single · EV 112 mph · LA +7° · 106 ft Élan De los Santos — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft Akira Yamamoto — single · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 78 ft Vladimir Encarnación — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +50° · 432 ft Sho Yamamoto-Pereira — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +53° · 478 ft Riccardo Scarpa — double · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 330 ft Juan Álvarez — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -18° · 84 ft Éder Scarpa — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 83 ft Élan De los Santos — single · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft Akira Yamamoto — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -25° · 81 ft Sadiel Geraldo — single · EV 90 mph · LA +17° · 180 ft Ketel Feliz — single · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 212 ft Tuomas Kemppi — single · EV 88 mph · LA -9° · 84 ft Riccardo Scarpa — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +25° · 205 ft Juan Álvarez — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +30° · 422 ft Élan De los Santos — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +0° · 87 ft Tuomas Kemppi — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 297 ft Vladimir Encarnación — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -15° · 76 ft
Salvador BC — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
304' 403' 334' Wall 39' Wander Marte — infield_single · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft David Ortiz — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -3° · 57 ft Robinson Bautista — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Fernando Solano — double_play · EV 65 mph · LA -2° · 62 ft Afonso Monteiro — double · EV 84 mph · LA +31° · 253 ft Wander Almonte — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Jeremias Norman — double · EV 94 mph · LA +30° · 307 ft Wander Marte — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA +6° · 81 ft Starlin Ynoa — ground_out · EV 54 mph · LA -8° · 52 ft Fernando Solano — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 179 ft Sekou Powless — double · EV 98 mph · LA +21° · 252 ft Afonso Monteiro — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +43° · 230 ft David Ortiz — double_play · EV 69 mph · LA +1° · 65 ft Wander Marte — single · EV 87 mph · LA +11° · 113 ft Bill Mejía — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Wander Marte — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +27° · 153 ft Bill Mejía — fielders_choice · EV 85 mph · LA -8° · 80 ft Starlin Ynoa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 137 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
San Cristóbal Navy
60% deserve-to-win  ·  7.6 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 14.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+2.5 on contact)
running: 4 SB · 2 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vladimir Encarnación 105 / +50° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.84
Juan Álvarez 110 / +30° Pull Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.65
Sho Yamamoto-Pereira 112 / +53° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.35
Riccardo Scarpa 96 / +32° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Tuomas Kemppi 92 / +30° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Salvador BC
40% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 7.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Afonso Monteiro 84 / +31° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Jeremias Norman 94 / +30° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Fernando Solano 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Sekou Powless 98 / +21° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Wander Marte 82 / +3° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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