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Provideniya-Reid BK 8, Bern Baseball Klub 6                  2046-04-18 · #817
at Bridge Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Provideniya-Reid        8    8    6    1
Bern                    6    6    6    1

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      1b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Ortwerthov  c  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Korolyov    2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Robertsov   cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Lanin       rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.250
Anin        3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Hin         lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
King        ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Renaud      p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Scott       j  ......    1   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  2.000
Elisaldezov j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  32   8   6   1   0   0   8   5  11   1   0  0.188
  2B: Lanin (5).
  E: Elisaldezov (1).
  HBP: Hin (1).


BERN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Aksu        p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
Genovese    3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Galarraga   rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Minaya      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Conde       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Rivers      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Markovic    lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Barham      cf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Delane  c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Baklenk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hosny       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   1  0.000
Bocanegra   j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  0.667
Justice     j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   6   6   0   0   0   6   5   8   1   2  0.231
  E: Genovese (4).
  HBP: Delane (1), Conde (1).
  GIDP: Genovese (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Struck out for Bocanegra in the 8th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Renaud (W, 5-0) .....    29   24  89%    5    6    2    4    7    0  122    -
Iwabuchi ............     4    3  11%    1    0    0    1    1    0   11  1-0

BERN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Aksu (L, 4-1) .......    22   14  52%    5    7    1    3    6    0   83    -
Iniesta .............    16   13  48%    1    1    1    2    5    0   61  1-0

  Batting order: Bern Baseball Klub (home) batted second; Provideniya-Reid BK batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 59°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 371634.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Beals Lanin Terrance Korolyov (2B) 1–0
T 3 Zan Hin Kaylan Robertsov (3B) 2–0
T 4 Bryson Scott Beals Lanin (3B) 3–0
T 4 Bryson Scott Zan Hin (2B) 4–0
T 6 Tracy Ortwerthov Bryson Scott (3B) 5–0
T 9 Beals Lanin Dexter Taylor (2B) 6–0
T 13 Dexter Taylor Tracy Ortwerthov (2B) 7–0
T 26 Zan Hin Dexter Taylor (3B) 8–0
B 3 Sherif Hosny Yangel Galarraga (3B) 8–1
B 8 Dominic Delane Christian Rivers (3B) 8–2
B 13 Herb Bocanegra Hubertus Aksu (3B) 8–3
B 13 Shaq Justice Dominic Delane (3B) 8–4
B 16 Hubertus Aksu Herb Bocanegra (3B) 8–5
B 22 Herb Bocanegra Shaq Justice (3B) 8–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Bridge Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 398' · RF 328' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
346' 398' 328' Dexter Taylor — line_out · EV 83 mph · LA +17° · 152 ft Kaylan Robertsov — single · EV 61 mph · LA +14° · 69 ft Beals Lanin — double · EV 90 mph · LA +12° · 127 ft Diehl Anin — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +8° · 53 ft Zan Hin — error · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Evgueni Stepanov — single · EV 82 mph · LA +21° · 180 ft Bryson Scott — single · EV 99 mph · LA +41° · 389 ft Ari Elisaldezov — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA -11° · 54 ft Terrance Korolyov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Bryson Scott — single · EV 52 mph · LA +24° · 81 ft Tracy Ortwerthov — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -0° · 49 ft Beals Lanin — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Dexter Taylor — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +1° · 73 ft Terrance Korolyov — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -10° · 55 ft Kaylan Robertsov — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 283 ft Beals Lanin — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +38° · 383 ft Dexter Taylor — single · EV 90 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft Terrance Korolyov — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft
Bern Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
346' 398' 328' Dominic Delane — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -17° · 49 ft Yangel Galarraga — single · EV 95 mph · LA +6° · 90 ft Christian Rivers — single · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 181 ft Alexis Minaya — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA +3° · 50 ft Mirko Barham — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Herb Bocanegra — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +37° · 104 ft Yangel Galarraga — fly_out · EV 55 mph · LA +31° · 108 ft Blaise Genovese — error · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Herb Bocanegra — single · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Shaq Justice — fielders_choice · EV 56 mph · LA -3° · 53 ft Alexis Minaya — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 223 ft Mirko Barham — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +50° · 241 ft Dominic Delane — error · EV 52 mph · LA -0° · 49 ft Blaise Genovese — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Christian Rivers — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -14° · 65 ft Herb Bocanegra — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -11° · 73 ft Shaq Justice — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 83 ft Mirko Barham — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 206 ft Herb Bocanegra — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Provideniya-Reid BK
62% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.6 vs expected
contact: 10.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-3.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Beals Lanin 99 / +38° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Beals Lanin 90 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Bryson Scott 99 / +41° Pull Stay 2.0 → 1 -1.00
Bryson Scott 52 / +24° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.83
Kaylan Robertsov 92 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.78
Bern Baseball Klub
38% deserve-to-win  ·  5.1 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Herb Bocanegra 92 / +13° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.87
Christian Rivers 76 / +26° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.78
Herb Bocanegra 77 / -11° Oppo Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.75
Blaise Genovese 76 / +16° Pull Reached on Error 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Yangel Galarraga 95 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
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