==============================================================================
Yekaterinburg Mustangs 15, Žilina BK 11                      2046-04-18 · #818
at Wedge Stadium
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Žilina                 11      0   11   12    0
Yekaterinburg          15      0   15   15    0

ŽILINA BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lee         2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Tweedie-Yat 3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Akita       lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Żurkowski   rf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Sigourney   cf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Noh         1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Xue         c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Fajardo     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
  a-Maikuma c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Beltré      j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hisami      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Pimpton     j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  34  11  12   3   0   2  11   3   9   0   1  0.353
  2B: Akita (12), Żurkowski (3), Sigourney (8).
  HR: Beltré (5), off Nadarajah; Pimpton (8), off Nadarajah.
  CS: Lee (2).
  GIDP: Beltré (2), Maikuma (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moriwake    c  ......    3   4   3   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Damdinsuren 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Yeh         lf ......    5   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.600
Wills       1b ......    3   4   2   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.667
Lew         cf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Tominaga    3b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   4   0   1   0   0  0.500
Nadarajah   p  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Stewart     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.000
Eom         rf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Ko          j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  35  15  15   5   0   0  13   7   3   0   0  0.429
  2B: Moriwake (10), Yeh (14), Lew (7), Tominaga (1), Nadarajah (5).
  HBP: Moriwake (4), Tominaga (1), Stewart (1).
  GIDP: Damdinsuren (1), Lew (1), Eom (1).


ŽILINA BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Fajardo .............    23   12  44%    7    7    7    4    1    0   76    -
Meisterov (L, 1-1) ..    16   11  41%    3    7    7    3    2    0   52  3-3
Suzuki ..............     6    4  15%    5    1    1    0    0    0   17  1-0

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nadarajah ...........    16    8  30%    6    8    1    2    3    2   54    -
Liu (W, 5-0) ........    14   14  52%    4    3    3    1    3    0   43  2-1
Sanada (F, 13) ......     7    5  19%    2    0    0    0    3    0   21    -

  Batting order: Yekaterinburg Mustangs (home) batted first; Žilina BK batted second.
  Seconds: ŽB o26 (11-15), YM o26 (15-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 81°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 433140.
  Walk-Back runs: off Nadarajah 2.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Chauncey Lew Yusei Moriwake (3B) 0–1
B 1 Chauncey Lew Kuo-hua Yeh (3B) 0–2
B 2 Elijah Stewart Maxime Wills (3B) 0–3
B 2 Elijah Stewart Chauncey Lew (2B) 0–4
B 8 Gaku Tominaga Gaku Tominaga (3B) 0–5
B 8 Elijah Stewart Gaku Tominaga (2B) 0–6
B 11 Kuo-hua Yeh Yusei Moriwake (3B) 0–7
B 11 Maxime Wills Senthil Nadarajah (3B) 0–8
B 12 Chauncey Lew Kuo-hua Yeh (2B) 0–9
B 14 Senthil Nadarajah Yusei Moriwake (3B) 0–10
B 17 Kuo-hua Yeh Maxime Wills (3B) 0–11
B 17 Kuo-hua Yeh Yusei Moriwake (3B) 0–12
B 18 Gaku Tominaga Kuo-hua Yeh (3B) 0–13
B 18 Gaku Tominaga Maxime Wills (2B) 0–14
B 26 Gaku Tominaga Maxime Wills (3B) 0–15
T 3 Zion Pimpton Dariusz Żurkowski (2B) 1–15
T 3 Zion Pimpton Armondo Sigourney (1B) 2–15
T 3 Zion Pimpton Zion Pimpton (HR) 3–15
T 6 Ketel Beltré Zion Pimpton (3B) 4–15
T 6 Ketel Beltré Woo-sung Noh (1B) 5–15
T 6 Ketel Beltré Ketel Beltré (HR) 6–15
T 7 Armondo Sigourney Ketel Beltré (3B) 7–15
T 7 Armondo Sigourney Daisuke Akita (2B) 8–15
T 12 Yibo Xue Dariusz Żurkowski (3B) 9–15
T 16 Daisuke Akita Jerry Tweedie-Yates (3B) 10–15
T 16 Dariusz Żurkowski Daisuke Akita (3B) 11–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wedge Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 429' · RF 278' · 13' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Žilina BK — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
343' 429' 278' Daisuke Akita — single · EV 98 mph · LA +22° · 273 ft Armondo Sigourney — single · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 173 ft Kotaro Hisami — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +44° · 253 ft Zion Pimpton — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 339 ft Woo-sung Noh — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Tsung-han Lee — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +15° · 70 ft Ketel Beltré — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +40° · 418 ft Dariusz Żurkowski — single · EV 77 mph · LA -0° · 73 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 97 mph · LA +15° · 192 ft Ketel Beltré — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +9° · 94 ft Woo-sung Noh — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +39° · 240 ft Yibo Xue — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Tsung-han Lee — single · EV 73 mph · LA -12° · 69 ft Jerry Tweedie-Yates — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Daisuke Akita — double · EV 94 mph · LA +34° · 330 ft Dariusz Żurkowski — double · EV 102 mph · LA +39° · 408 ft Sunao Maikuma — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Zion Pimpton — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 177 ft Ketel Beltré — single · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 137 ft Woo-sung Noh — single · EV 68 mph · LA +20° · 122 ft Yibo Xue — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 10 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
343' 429' 278' Yusei Moriwake — double · EV 104 mph · LA +34° · 404 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 239 ft Kuo-hua Yeh — error · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 212 ft Chauncey Lew — double · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 317 ft Elijah Stewart — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Jun-ho Eom — single · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Gaku Tominaga — double · EV 97 mph · LA +45° · 377 ft Yusei Moriwake — single · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 185 ft Kuo-hua Yeh — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 91 ft Chauncey Lew — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Elijah Stewart — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 74 ft Jun-ho Eom — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Senthil Nadarajah — single · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 173 ft Kuo-hua Yeh — single · EV 99 mph · LA +9° · 115 ft Chauncey Lew — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +5° · 80 ft Jun-ho Eom — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -17° · 53 ft Gaku Tominaga — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -1° · 89 ft Senthil Nadarajah — line_out · EV 58 mph · LA +15° · 70 ft Yusei Moriwake — single · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 134 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA -10° · 60 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 82 mph · LA +22° · 185 ft Kuo-hua Yeh — double · EV 99 mph · LA +29° · 334 ft Chauncey Lew — single · EV 58 mph · LA +6° · 55 ft Gaku Tominaga — single · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 235 ft Senthil Nadarajah — double · EV 97 mph · LA +28° · 310 ft Elijah Stewart — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Kuo-hua Yeh — single · EV 106 mph · LA +16° · 232 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Žilina BK
15% deserve-to-win  ·  7.5 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +3.5 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+5.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zion Pimpton 92 / +45° Oppo Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.78
Ketel Beltré 103 / +40° Center Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.49
Daisuke Akita 94 / +34° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Zion Pimpton 92 / +16° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Armondo Sigourney 97 / +15° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
85% deserve-to-win  ·  18.1 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  -3.1 vs expected
contact: 22.6 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (-2.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yusei Moriwake 104 / +34° Pull Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Jun-ho Eom 92 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren 94 / +21° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Kuo-hua Yeh 92 / +19° Oppo Reached on Error 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Chauncey Lew 92 / +35° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →