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Tynda Police 3, Barquisimeto Grocery 0                       2046-04-19 · #857
at Twilight Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            0    0    2    1
Tynda                   3    3    2    0

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solano      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sandoval    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Capozzi pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Echternach  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Flower      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Solano  ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Zivkovi 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Nakayam c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Hulbert 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  f-O'Meara ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Nemoto  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Acosta  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heslip      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Concepción  j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   0   2   0   0   0   0   3  17   0   0  0.080
  CS: Capozzi (1).
  E: Solano (4).
  HBP: Solano (1).
  GIDP: Solano (1).
  a-Ran for Sandoval in the 7th.
  b-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  c-Entered at 2B in the 8th.
  d-Entered at C in the 8th.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 9th.
  f-Grounded out in the 7th.
  g-Singled for Nakayama in the 9th.
  h-Struck out for Solano in the 9th.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Novikov     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Matviyenko  lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Kukushkin   1b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Han     pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Komatsu     cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cherkasov   ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Motiejū pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Keramid ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Chernov pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Jidkova ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Halder  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-LaFleur ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Dōan    lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  i-Jonesov ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nelson      j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Michael     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   3   2   1   0   0   3   5  12   0   0  0.077
  2B: Dōan (3).
  GIDP: Komatsu 2 (2), Keramidas (1).
  a-Ran for Kukushkin in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Cherkasov in the 3rd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Ran in the 2nd.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Singled in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 3rd.
  h-Entered at LF in the 7th.
  i-Struck out for Nelson in the 8th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Schott ..............    13   10  37%    1    2    2    3    2    0   45    -
Pulido ..............    16   15  56%    1    0    0    2   10    0   55  1-0
Altuve (L, 0-1) .....     1    2   7%    0    1    1    0    0    0    5  3-1

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Skatov (W, 1-0) .....    30   27 100%    2    0    0    3   18    0  109    -

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted first; Barquisimeto Grocery batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 43°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain. seed 339091.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Bharat Halder Shozo Aoki (3B) 0–1
B 9 Valery Novikov Aleksandr Chernov (3B) 0–2
B 25 Yūto Komatsu Yoshihito Dōan (3B) 0–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Rómulo Sandoval — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +20° · 114 ft Darwin O'Meara — line_out · EV 54 mph · LA +18° · 70 ft Riku Nemoto — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Yandy Solano — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +18° · 158 ft Heissler Concepción — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Yandy Solano — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -2° · 58 ft Heissler Concepción — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Shozo Aoki — error · EV 53 mph · LA +0° · 50 ft Silvio Michael — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +7° · 76 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — double_play · EV 57 mph · LA -4° · 54 ft Bharat Halder — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Yoshihito Dōan — double · EV 95 mph · LA +32° · 324 ft Valery Novikov — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +43° · 243 ft Yūto Komatsu — double_play · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 96 ft Daniil Jidkova — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Yūto Komatsu — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA +4° · 55 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Barquisimeto Grocery
14% deserve-to-win  ·  0.9 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yandy Solano 82 / +18° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Rómulo Sandoval 67 / +20° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Darwin O'Meara 54 / +18° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Heissler Concepción 76 / +16° Center Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Riku Nemoto 76 / +21° Oppo Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Tynda Police
86% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 4.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-1.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yoshihito Dōan 95 / +32° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Daniil Jidkova 92 / +29° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Yūto Komatsu 85 / +10° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Bharat Halder 76 / +22° Pull Single 0.6 → 1 +0.40
Silvio Michael 80 / +7° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
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