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Brasília Stevedores 11, Pan Am Mountaineers 4                2046-04-19 · #858
at Barquisimeto Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Brasília               11      0   11   12    0
Barquisimeto            4      0    4    4    1

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabrera     cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Delgado pr ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Gustavo     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Geraldo     lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cruz        1b ......    1   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  2.000
  b-Martine pr ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Trauco      rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  0.333
Adames      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Lawrick     c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Bonsegundo  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Ramón   ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Ramírez pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Marx    pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Polanco     j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Saprissa    j  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  32  11  12   1   0   0  10   7   4   2   0  0.375
  2B: Martinelli (5).
  SB: Martinelli (1).
  CS: Delgado (1), Polanco (5).
  a-Ran for Cabrera in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Cruz in the 2nd.
  c-Singled in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Ramón in the 2nd.
  e-Ran in the 4th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Heredia     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bautista    ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Feliz       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Riccobono   lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Cruz        1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dybala      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Edris       3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tuominen    p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   2   .000
  a-Ward    rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Melo        j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sampaio     j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   4   4   0   0   0   4   2   8   0   2  0.143
  E: Melo (1).
  HBP: Ward (2), Dybala (3).
  a-Entered at RF in the 7th.

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bonsegundo (W, 2-1) .    22   20  74%    4    3    3    0    6    0   79    -
Dolphins (F, 21) ....     8    7  26%    0    1    1    2    2    0   27  2-1

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tuominen (L, 0-3) ...    27   20  74%    7    6    6    5    2    0  105    -
Machado .............    12    7  26%    5    5    3    2    2    0   29  1-1

  Batting order: Pan Am Mountaineers (home) batted second; Brasília Stevedores batted first.
  Seconds: BS o25 (11-0), PAM o25 (4-11).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 63°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 712583.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Manny Cruz Junior Cabrera (3B) 1–0
T 14 Edwin Ramírez Edwin Ramírez (3B) 2–0
T 14 Léonardo Martinelli Eugene Marx (3B) 3–0
T 14 Léonardo Martinelli Jean Delgado (2B) 4–0
T 14 Vinicius Trauco Edwin Ramírez (3B) 5–0
T 18 Robinson Polanco Léonardo Martinelli (3B) 6–0
T 18 Jean Delgado Robinson Polanco (3B) 7–0
T 18 Renato Gustavo Junior Cabrera (3B) 8–0
T 19 Edwin Ramírez Jean Delgado (2B) 9–0
T 20 Vinicius Trauco Joaquín Saprissa (3B) 10–0
T 20 Manny Adames Manny Geraldo (3B) 11–0
B 9 Miika Tuominen Donni Ward (3B) 11–1
B 16 Donni Ward Francisco Melo (3B) 11–2
B 18 Sean Edris Aymeric Riccobono (3B) 11–3
B 18 Miika Tuominen Donni Ward (3B) 11–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Barquisimeto Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 445' · RF 354' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 10 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Carlos Cabrera — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 207 ft Renato Gustavo — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Junior Cabrera — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +4° · 76 ft Joaquín Saprissa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 92 ft Fernando Ramón — single · EV 87 mph · LA +17° · 169 ft Manny Cruz — error · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Vinicius Trauco — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +23° · 112 ft Manny Adames — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Nat Lawrick — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA -4° · 53 ft Léonardo Martinelli — double · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Edwin Ramírez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 109 ft Manny Cruz — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Joaquín Saprissa — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 315 ft Renato Gustavo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Manny Geraldo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Vinicius Trauco — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 155 ft Nat Lawrick — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Robinson Polanco — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 211 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 79 mph · LA +10° · 88 ft Joaquín Saprissa — single · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Renato Gustavo — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +44° · 125 ft Vinicius Trauco — error · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 97 ft Manny Adames — single · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Nat Lawrick — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Francisco Melo — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -1° · 62 ft Eloy Feliz — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +6° · 67 ft Néstor Paniagua — fly_out · EV 56 mph · LA +44° · 125 ft Karl-Anthony Cruz — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA -12° · 64 ft Jeimer Bautista — single · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Donni Ward — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Ronaldo Sampaio — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 83 ft Eloy Feliz — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +35° · 102 ft Francisco Melo — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Aymeric Riccobono — single · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Jeimer Bautista — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Paulo Dybala — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +46° · 231 ft Sean Edris — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Sandy Heredia — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Donni Ward — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +23° · 188 ft Aymeric Riccobono — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Karl-Anthony Cruz — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +31° · 204 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brasília Stevedores
87% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +4.0 vs expected
contact: 11.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joaquín Saprissa 92 / +34° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Manny Geraldo 92 / +39° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Léonardo Martinelli 92 / +34° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Manny Cruz 68 / -5° Pull Stay 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Manny Cruz 76 / +7° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Pan Am Mountaineers
13% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 5.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Donni Ward 81 / +23° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Aymeric Riccobono 52 / +15° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Ronaldo Sampaio 76 / +10° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Jeimer Bautista 76 / +9° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Donni Ward 76 / +10° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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