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Amur-Zaimka Elk 11, Berlin Baseball Klub 10  (2 SI)          2046-04-22 · #966
at Tide Bowl
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Berlin                 10      0   10    8    1
Amur-Zaimka            10      1   11   12    1

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sosa        ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Granvil ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Alfonso     cf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Shelton     lf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Wiesner     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
CressAllen  rf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Altuve      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Dilling ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Acuña       p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Matos   ph ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Pearman cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Kallis  c  ......    4   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.250
  f-Morgan  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  g-Germán  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  h-Marais  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Javed       j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  38  10   8   5   0   0  10   9  19   0   0  0.211
  2B: Dillingham (4), Kallis (2), CressAllen (4), Altuve (2), Matos (2).
  SB: Germán (3).
  E: Sosa (1).
  a-Struck out for Sosa in the 10th.
  b-Batted for Altuve in the 7th.
  c-Batted for Acuña in the 7th.
  d-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at C in the 7th.
  f-Ran for Pearman in the 7th.
  g-Batted in the 8th.
  h-Replaced Dillingham at CF in the 10th.

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Willenborgo lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  a-Pashkov pr ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Printezis   3b ......    4   1   2   0   1   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Kingov  ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kwiatkowski rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lutrova     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Qiu     ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Billiot     cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Faulk   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Stevensov   1b ......    3   2   2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Bridges     2b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Mogilevets  ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  e-Paudel  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Akaho   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  g-Jin     ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  h-Cardin  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-DiSano  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Thompso rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  k-Meringo 3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  l-Mohamme ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mixon       j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Tolliver    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  36  11  12   3   2   0  11   6  10   0   0  0.333
  2B: Akaho (9), Qiu (1), Kingov (1).
  3B: Printezis (1), Stevensov (1).
  SB: Bridges (4), Pashkova (4).
  E: Pashkova (1).
  GIDP: Printezis (3).
  a-Ran for Willenborgov in the 3rd.
  b-Replaced Printezis at SS in the 8th.
  c-Batted for Lutrova in the 4th.
  d-Ran for Billiot in the 5th.
  e-Replaced Mogilevets at CF in the 8th.
  f-Batted in the 3rd.
  g-Walked for Tolliver in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Jin in the 4th.
  i-Grounded out for Faulk in the 7th.
  j-Replaced DiSano at RF in the 8th.
  k-Entered at 3B in the 10th.
  l-Replaced Akaho at SS in the 8th.

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Acuña ...............    23   16  59%    6    3    3    4    6    0   79    -
Montero .............    11    7  26%    4    4    1    0    3    0   30  1-0
Frías (L, 0-1) ......     8    5  19%    2    4    4    2    1    0   35  1-1

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blackstockov (W, 3-0)     31   22  81%    5    4    3    4   16    0  122    -
Oh ..................     7    4  15%    2    3    3    1    1    0   17  1-1
Buchina .............     4    1   4%    1    2    2    2    1    0    7  1-1
Barth ...............     5    3  11%    0    1    1    2    1    0   17  2-1

  Batting order: Amur-Zaimka Elk (home) batted first; Berlin Baseball Klub batted second.
  Super-innings: 2.
  Seconds: BB1 o24 (10-10), AE o24 (10-0).
  First pitch 1:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 45°F · Wind out · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 176262.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 12 Shihan Qiu Kyle Bridges (3B) 0–1
B 12 Shihan Qiu Thai-Son Mixon (2B) 0–2
B 15 Daichi Akaho Gregory Faulk (2B) 0–3
B 15 Alan Pashkova Stepan Stevensov (3B) 0–4
B 17 José Printezis Daichi Akaho (3B) 0–5
B 18 Shihan Qiu Alan Pashkova (3B) 0–6
B 20 Stepan Stevensov José Printezis (1B) 0–7
B 22 José Printezis Stepan Stevensov (3B) 0–8
B 22 José Printezis Kyle Bridges (2B) 0–9
B 22 José Printezis Alan Pashkova (1B) 0–10
T 5 Yordan Altuve Lenoir Wiesner (2B) 1–10
T 5 Yordan Altuve Connor Kallis (1B) 2–10
T 6 Rougned Acuña Yordan Altuve (2B) 3–10
T 16 Eddie Shelton Connor Kallis (2B) 4–10
T 20 Markeylin CressAllen Eddie Shelton (1B) 5–10
T 20 Cameron Dillingham Markeylin CressAllen (2B) 6–10
T 20 Cameron Dillingham Heath Morgan (1B) 7–10
T 20 Roan Matos Cameron Dillingham (2B) 8–10
T 20 Roan Matos Ronny Sosa (1B) 9–10
T 21 Connor Kallis Roan Matos (3B) 10–10
SB 31 Coniah Kingov Alan Pashkova (1B) 10–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 319' · CF 396' · RF 347' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Bullpens in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Berlin Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Usman Javed — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -16° · 60 ft Yordan Altuve — double · EV 105 mph · LA +32° · 395 ft Rougned Acuña — single · EV 110 mph · LA -6° · 105 ft Lenoir Wiesner — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +27° · 272 ft Connor Kallis — double · EV 99 mph · LA +15° · 198 ft Cameron Dillingham — double · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 284 ft Roan Matos — double · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 254 ft Sandy Germán — single · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Kobus Marais — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +15° · 177 ft Lenoir Wiesner — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +35° · 248 ft Roan Matos — single · EV 71 mph · LA +13° · 85 ft Eddie Shelton — error · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Usman Javed — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 159 ft Yandy Alfonso — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 234 ft Markeylin CressAllen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 155 ft Connor Kallis — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +3° · 76 ft Markeylin CressAllen — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA -7° · 69 ft
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 7 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' José Printezis — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA +8° · 56 ft Kyle Bridges — single · EV 114 mph · LA +10° · 169 ft Shihan Qiu — double · EV 106 mph · LA +22° · 316 ft Alan Pashkova — error · EV 93 mph · LA +5° · 88 ft Thai-Son Mixon — line_out · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 275 ft Justin Thompsonov — single · EV 77 mph · LA -2° · 73 ft Micah Meringoff — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA -13° · 62 ft Rabindra Paudel — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +5° · 61 ft Coniah Kingov — double · EV 118 mph · LA +18° · 335 ft Rhyne Billiot — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 73 ft Stepan Stevensov — single · EV 73 mph · LA +8° · 70 ft Daichi Akaho — double · EV 80 mph · LA +40° · 254 ft Jessie Tolliver — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 164 ft Shihan Qiu — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +54° · 325 ft Nate Cardin — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +21° · 172 ft Alan Pashkova — single · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft José Printezis — single · EV 95 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft Stepan Stevensov — triple · EV 112 mph · LA +22° · 352 ft Shihan Qiu — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +33° · 323 ft Kyle Bridges — single · EV 62 mph · LA +24° · 112 ft José Printezis — triple · EV 104 mph · LA +15° · 214 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Berlin Baseball Klub
40% deserve-to-win  ·  9.7 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +0.3 vs expected
contact: 14.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yandy Alfonso 96 / +20° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Usman Javed 89 / +15° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Kobus Marais 95 / +15° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Connor Kallis 99 / +15° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Lenoir Wiesner 91 / +27° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Amur-Zaimka Elk
60% deserve-to-win  ·  11.9 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 16.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+2.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
José Printezis 104 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.63
Daichi Akaho 80 / +40° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.34
Thai-Son Mixon 99 / +22° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Stepan Stevensov 112 / +22° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.26
Shihan Qiu 94 / +33° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
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