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Belgrade Beisbol Klub 14, Prague Boars 2                    2046-05-01 · #1371
at Coffin Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Prague                  2      0    2    6    1
Belgrade               11      3   14   16    0

PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rami        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Barišić     lf ......    2   0   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Fagioli     2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Calathes    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moukoko     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Longo       c  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Zelem       rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Giacinti    1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Féliz   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jenyat      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bella-Kotch j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   2   6   1   0   0   2   5   7   0   0  0.250
  2B: Barišić (7).
  E: Jenyat (3).
  GIDP: Jenyat 2 (2), Bella-Kotchap 2 (4), Giacinti 2 (2).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fetfatzidis 2b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Akpınar     cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.333
Rossi       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nzonzi      3b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Bhatti      rf ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Anthony     1b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
Popp        ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.333
Dupont      c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   4   1   1   0   0  0.333
Ziani       p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Gaye        j  ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   4   1   0   0   0  1.000
Magee       j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Vukojević   j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  37  14  16   2   0   0  14   7  15   0   1  0.432
  2B: Gaye 2 (9).
  SB: Popp (3).
  GIDP: Vukojević (3).


PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rami (L, 1-2) .......    13    6  22%    8    5    5    2    1    0   46    -
Bobadilla ...........     4    2   7%    2    3    1    1    0    0   18  2-1
Fofana ..............    11    8  30%    3    2    2    1    6    0   36  2-1
Bianchi .............     4    2   7%    1    4    4    1    1    0   21  3-3
Sontag ..............    11    9  33%    1    0    0    2    7    0   52  1-0

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ziani (W, 2-2) ......    29   27 100%    6    2    2    5    7    0  115    -

  Batting order: Belgrade Beisbol Klub (home) batted first; Prague Boars batted second.
  Seconds: PB1 o25 (2-11), BB3 o23 (11-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 805771.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Bruno Magee Victor Gaye (3B) 0–1
B 2 Djimy Nzonzi Antonis Fetfatzidis (3B) 0–2
B 2 Azam Bhatti Bruno Magee (3B) 0–3
B 4 Alexander Dupont Azam Bhatti (3B) 0–4
B 4 Mehdi Ziani Niklas Popp (3B) 0–5
B 6 Victor Gaye Alexander Dupont (3B) 0–6
B 12 Alexander Dupont Victor Gaye (3B) 0–7
B 13 Suad Vukojević Antonis Fetfatzidis (3B) 0–8
B 13 Victor Gaye Serge Akpınar (3B) 0–9
B 13 Victor Gaye Alexander Dupont (2B) 0–10
B 13 Victor Gaye Suad Vukojević (1B) 0–11
T 8 Ivica Barišić Edoardo Longo (2B) 1–11
T 19 Julien Rami Carlo Fagioli (3B) 2–11
seconds_first 3 Yangervis Anthony Djimy Nzonzi (2B) 2–12
seconds_first 3 Alexander Dupont Azam Bhatti (3B) 2–13
seconds_first 3 Alexander Dupont Yangervis Anthony (2B) 2–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 318' · CF 445' · RF 344' · 22' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
318' 445' 344' Wall 22' Carlo Fagioli — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 177 ft Edoardo Longo — single · EV 76 mph · LA -11° · 72 ft Néstor Féliz — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA -14° · 79 ft Nico Giacinti — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Ivica Barišić — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Julien Rami — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Wajdi Jenyat — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft George Zelem — single · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Nico Giacinti — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -9° · 58 ft Ivica Barišić — double · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Sokratis Calathes — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 70 ft Edoardo Longo — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 103 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Wajdi Jenyat — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA +4° · 56 ft
Belgrade Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 13 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
318' 445' 344' Wall 22' Antonis Fetfatzidis — single · EV 85 mph · LA +23° · 210 ft Bruno Magee — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 83 ft Álvaro De Rossi — ground_out · EV 83 mph · LA +0° · 79 ft Djimy Nzonzi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Niklas Popp — single · EV 92 mph · LA +1° · 87 ft Alexander Dupont — error · EV 66 mph · LA -13° · 63 ft Mehdi Ziani — single · EV 87 mph · LA +17° · 168 ft Suad Vukojević — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +1° · 77 ft Victor Gaye — double · EV 94 mph · LA +23° · 256 ft Serge Akpınar — single · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 193 ft Antonis Fetfatzidis — single · EV 67 mph · LA +5° · 63 ft Victor Gaye — double · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Yangervis Anthony — single · EV 82 mph · LA -17° · 78 ft Victor Gaye — single · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 125 ft Yangervis Anthony — single · EV 96 mph · LA -13° · 91 ft Alexander Dupont — single · EV 83 mph · LA -0° · 79 ft Álvaro De Rossi — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +38° · 270 ft Djimy Nzonzi — single · EV 86 mph · LA -9° · 82 ft Azam Bhatti — single · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 165 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Prague Boars
17% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ivica Barišić 76 / +42° Pull Double 0.2 → 2 +1.84
Carlo Fagioli 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Edoardo Longo 76 / -11° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
George Zelem 52 / +16° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Sokratis Calathes 76 / +9° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Belgrade Beisbol Klub
83% deserve-to-win  ·  8.4 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +5.6 vs expected
contact: 11.6 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 17.0 (+5.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Victor Gaye 94 / +23° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Victor Gaye 92 / +16° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Antonis Fetfatzidis 67 / +5° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Yangervis Anthony 82 / -17° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Djimy Nzonzi 86 / -9° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
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