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Goldzma Drillers 4, Esso BK 3                               2046-05-01 · #1372
at Ranga Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Goldzma                 4    4    3    0
Esso                    3    3    5    0

GOLDZMA DRILLERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Basavareddi 2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mensahov    p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  1.000
Jonesov     c  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Dewberr c  ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Ki      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Cicma   3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  d-Washing ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Mandlik cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Turnero cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Vanegas     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Vines-Brigh j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  23   4   3   1   0   0   4   3  10   0   1  0.130
  2B: Mandlikov (2).
  HBP: Mandlikov (1).
  GIDP: Basavareddin (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  e-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 8th.

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valiev      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kurbanov    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tymoshenko  3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sastry      c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Azzopardi   cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Allen       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Bezecny 1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Tchernenko  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Agafono ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mukhometov  rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Morra       ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Andreev ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Kulikov ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Buster  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mukhin      j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Fomin       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Twedtov     j  ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   3   5   1   0   0   2   5   6   0   0  0.179
  2B: Sastry (3).
  CS: Allen (5).
  GIDP: Fomin (3).
  a-Replaced Allen at 1B in the 9th.
  b-Grounded out for Tchernenko in the 7th.
  c-Singled for Morra in the 7th.
  d-Struck out in the 8th.
  e-Ran in the 8th.

GOLDZMA DRILLERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mensahov (W, 3-1) ...    17   16  59%    1    0    0    1    4    0   70    -
Maxwell .............    12    8  30%    3    2    2    3    1    0   38    -
Otton ...............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    1    1    0   12  2-1

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kurbanov (L, 0-1) ...    26   20  74%    3    3    3    3   10    0   92    -
Ezukanmin ...........     1    2   7%    0    1    1    0    0    0    2  3-1

  Batting order: Esso BK (home) batted first; Goldzma Drillers batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 93°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 149454.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 21 Vadim Fomin Karen Andreev (2B) 0–1
B 23 Aleksei Kurbanov Sven Buster (3B) 0–2
B 25 Andrea Azzopardi Matvei Mukhin (3B) 0–3
T 11 Donald Vines-Brightov Donni Dewberrin (2B) 1–3
T 14 Jae-hyun Ki Dann Mandlikov (2B) 2–3
T 19 Dann Mandlikov Donni Dewberrin (3B) 3–3
T 21 Khalil Mensahov Quincy Jonesov (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ranga Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 425' · RF 275' · 9' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Goldzma Drillers — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Dann Mandlikov — double · EV 85 mph · LA +13° · 123 ft Jed Basavareddin — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +10° · 79 ft Khalil Mensahov — single · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 90 ft Donni Dewberrin — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -20° · 78 ft Quincy Jonesov — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +39° · 289 ft Donald Vines-Brightov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Jae-hyun Ki — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Donni Dewberrin — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -25° · 76 ft Garth Turnerov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft Rodolfo Vanegas — single · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 204 ft Jed Basavareddin — line_out · EV 105 mph · LA +21° · 299 ft
Esso BK — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -0° · 77 ft Shawn Twedtov — infield_single · EV 63 mph · LA -7° · 60 ft Andrea Azzopardi — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -9° · 49 ft Valeri Tchernenko — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -6° · 87 ft Vladislav Mukhometov — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +17° · 78 ft Charles Allen — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Karen Andreev — single · EV 60 mph · LA +2° · 57 ft Ronald Bezecny — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Semyon Valiev — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +17° · 77 ft Aleksei Kurbanov — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +34° · 102 ft Matvei Mukhin — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -1° · 59 ft Vadim Fomin — double_play · EV 83 mph · LA +10° · 92 ft Shawn Twedtov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -22° · 72 ft Karthik Sastry — double · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Vadim Fomin — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Andrea Azzopardi — single · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Goldzma Drillers
56% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 6.6 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-2.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jed Basavareddin 105 / +21° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Dann Mandlikov 85 / +13° Pull Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Quincy Jonesov 86 / +39° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Jed Basavareddin 77 / +10° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Khalil Mensahov 79 / +11° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Esso BK
44% deserve-to-win  ·  3.5 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.5 vs expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-0.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shawn Twedtov 63 / -7° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Karen Andreev 60 / +2° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Karthik Sastry 92 / +44° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Shawn Twedtov 76 / -22° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Andrea Azzopardi 76 / -4° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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