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Provideniya-Reid BK 4, Yagodnoye Sharks 3                   2046-05-02 · #1440
at Yagodnoye Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Provideniya-Reid        4    4    3    0
Yagodnoye               3    3   10    0

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Poole       2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Robertsov   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Brunnbe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lanin       lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Hin         3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kalyuzhnaya 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Elliottov   c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Renaud      p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Anin    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Elisaldezov j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Scott       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   4   3   1   0   0   4   5   7   0   0  0.136
  2B: Hin (5).
  CS: Lanin (1).
  HBP: Stepanov (1).
  GIDP: Robertsov (1), Elisaldezov (2).
  a-Ran for Rudnev in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Renaud in the 7th.

YAGODNOYE SHARKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chamberlin  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Nembhardov  1b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Efremova    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Terrell     2b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Goloviznina ss ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Chalova     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Grebenyuk   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Danilin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Blinkova    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Valiev  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Isaeva  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Safina  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Fedorov     j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Aalto       j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Lapushchenk j  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  29   3  10   1   0   0   2   2  10   0   0  0.345
  2B: Lapushchenkova (5).
  SB: Terrell (4), Goloviznina (4).
  CS: Nembhardov (4).
  HBP: Chamberlin (2).
  GIDP: Chamberlin (1), Efremova (2), Grebenyuk (1).
  a-Ran for Grebenyuk in the 7th.
  b-Struck out for Blinkova in the 7th.
  c-Struck out in the 6th.
  d-Grounded out for Lapushchenkova in the 8th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Renaud (W, 6-1) .....    28   27 100%    6    3    3    2   10    0   91    -

YAGODNOYE SHARKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Blinkova (L, 2-4) ...    27   23  85%    2    4    4    5    7    0  112    -

  Batting order: Yagodnoye Sharks (home) batted first; Provideniya-Reid BK batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM MAGT. Weather: 39°F · Wind in · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 358509.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 11 Mikhail Lapushchenkova Eemil Aalto (3B) 0–1
B 22 Mikhail Lapushchenkova Marmaduke Terrell (3B) 0–2
B 22 Mikhail Lapushchenkova Magomed Danilina (2B) 0–3
T 17 Zan Hin Zan Hin (3B) 1–3
T 20 Dexter Taylor Marc Brunnbergov (3B) 2–3
T 20 Bryson Scott Chase Poole (3B) 3–3
T 21 Evgueni Stepanov Diehl Anin (3B) 4–3
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Yagodnoye Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 422' · RF 340' · 8' wall). Balanced.
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Dexter Taylor — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +7° · 53 ft Zan Hin — double · EV 86 mph · LA +37° · 285 ft Karoy Renaud — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +25° · 108 ft Ari Elisaldezov — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -2° · 63 ft Kaylan Robertsov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Nikolay Rudnev — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Zan Hin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +30° · 198 ft Dmitry Kalyuzhnaya — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +37° · 261 ft Mackenzie Elliottov — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +18° · 134 ft Evgueni Stepanov — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA -5° · 59 ft
Yagodnoye Sharks — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 422' 340' Anton Efremova — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -17° · 72 ft Marmaduke Terrell — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Ilia Fedorov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Eemil Aalto — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Vitaly Goloviznina — single · EV 81 mph · LA +24° · 194 ft Taras Chalova — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +43° · 231 ft Daler Grebenyuk — double_play · EV 64 mph · LA -1° · 60 ft Lee Chamberlin — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -31° · 49 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +35° · 101 ft Vitaly Goloviznina — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft Ilia Fedorov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 119 ft Mikhail Lapushchenkova — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 336 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Provideniya-Reid BK
44% deserve-to-win  ·  1.5 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +2.5 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-0.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zan Hin 86 / +37° Pull Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Mackenzie Elliottov 76 / +18° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Dmitry Kalyuzhnaya 82 / +37° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Nikolay Rudnev 76 / +15° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Kaylan Robertsov 76 / +6° Oppo Double Play 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Yagodnoye Sharks
56% deserve-to-win  ·  1.7 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 4.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+2.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mikhail Lapushchenkova 92 / +42° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Marmaduke Terrell 76 / -8° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ilia Fedorov 76 / -6° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Eemil Aalto 76 / -9° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Vitaly Goloviznina 81 / +24° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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